Everyone blames crypto volatility for budget disasters, but I think we’re coping hard. The real problem? Most Web3 teams budget like normies from 2015.
Picture this: Your dev team estimates 6 months of runway based on current token prices, diamond handing the entire treasury. Market dumps 40% next week because some whale decided to exit. Suddenly you’re getting rekt, cutting salaries, or worse, rushing a half-baked launch because “few understand” your tokenomics. NGMI.
But here’s the thing - you knew this could happen. We all did. So why do teams still budget like they’re on a permanent moonshot?
The volatility excuse is pure hopium covering up deeper issues. Teams budget in USD but pay in bags. They plan fixed costs with assets that move like a degen’s leverage position. They treat treasury like it’s some boomer savings account instead of DeFi alpha.
What if the solution isn’t predicting when number goes up but designing around the inevitable rug? Some teams are doing 18-month bear market planning from launch, not just diamond handing through the pain. Others are actually diversifying treasuries in real time through yield farming and liquidity mining, not just during face-melting pumps. A few based teams are even using derivatives to hedge against their own token getting absolutely demolished.
Then there’s the burn rate cope: that lower is always better. But what if you’re burning too slowly? Missing opportunities because you’re bag holding runway like it’s going to 100x? Competitors are shipping while you’re stress-testing spreadsheets and waiting for “the right market conditions.”
How do you actually budget in crypto without getting completely rekt? Are you hedging treasury risk with actual strategy, or just hoping for another DeFi summer? What’s worked beyond the usual “HODL and DYOR” cope that everyone posts?
WAGMI but only if we stop pretending volatility is the enemy. Really want the alpha on real strategies, not just hopium-fueled advice!