vMARKET – Predictions Meet DeFAI

Project Name

vMARKET – Predictions Meet DeFAI


Problem Statement

Prediction markets promise crowd-sourced truth, but only if enough people participate.

Today’s platforms suffer from thin liquidity, slow settlement, and fragmented LP tools, making it hard for users to trade and harder for liquidity providers to stay engaged.

As a result, markets lack depth, newcomers get overwhelmed, and the “wisdom of the crowd” never fully materializes.

Non-gamblers who want thesis exposure or to passively back events they believe in have no easy path to participation.

Meanwhile, LPs are stuck micromanaging capital across isolated markets for little return.


Solution Overview

vMARKET is a Hyperion-native prediction exchange built to fix what breaks most markets: low participation.

Instead of forcing users to choose between being a trader or a micromanager LP, we give them one fast, intuitive interface and a single Liquidity Vault powered by AI.

Every prediction becomes a YES/NO market, making outcomes easy to chart, easy to understand, and easy to trade.

Participation on vMARKET is inherently incentivized by design, reducing the need for foundation-backed incentives. This avoids attracting non-sticky users who only show up for rewards.

Project Description

vMARKET is a Hyperion-native prediction exchange where users can trade binary markets or passively earn yield by depositing METIS into a single Liquidity Vault.

Each outcome is spun into its own YES/NO market.

e.g. “Will the Chiefs win?”

Allowing for clean chart displays, tight spreads, and simple onboarding for new users.

When the user buys a “YES” share, the price of “YES” shares increase and the price of “NO” shares decrease.

Think of each binary market as it’s own 2 sided LP on a DEX like Uniswap.

Selling = NO
Buying = YES
(or vice versa)

This approach allows us to display the markets price action like price action on a token, stock, or commodity.

This modular format avoids the UX and liquidity fragmentation common in multi-outcome prediction protocols.

vMARKET runs on three core contracts:

  • MarketFactory: Mints ERC-20 tokens for each YES/NO market

  • AMM Pool: Facilitates instant swaps

  • Liquidity Vault: Aggregates METIS from LPs, queries Vic for market signals, and rebalances capital to maximize fee yield.

          "AI powered concentrated prediction liquidity"

Vic, our embedded AI agent, launches in read-only mode, surfacing stats like vault exposure, historical price bands, and order flow.

It uses a rule-based signal engine at first (volatility, volume, time decay, etc…), with a future roadmap that includes more agentic capability like acting on behalf of the user.

The Vault architecture unifies LP capital while deploying it across uncorrelated markets, allowing users to earn across the entire prediction layer with one deposit.

Governance over vault logic and market curation will eventually be community-driven via staked VESTA tokens or governance (Predicto0o0or) NFTs.

The public testnet will validate Vic’s signal accuracy, benchmark vault efficiency under load, and guide which agentic actions to prioritize post-hackathon.

Together, these systems unlock a fully composable, low-friction predictions layer designed for real-time trading, passive yield, and Hyperion-native scale.

Built with Next.js, wagmi, ethers, and the Alith Agent Framework.

Community Engagement Features

  • Market Creation – Users can propose new markets directly through the app; top-voted proposals are auto-queued for launch

  • Leaderboard – A weekly leaderboard tracks prediction accuracy, volume traded, and LP performance; top contributors earn yield boosts and social visibility

  • Dev Contributions – GitHub will be open for frontend and backend PRs; contributors can earn tokens and roles in the public repo

  • Live Dev Calls – Weekly calls inside the community to demo updates, gather feedback, and align roadmap priorities

  • Achievement NFTs – Mintable collectibles for milestone actions like placing a first trade, interacting with Vic, or making a vault deposit

  • Founding Predictor Badge – Early testers mint a non-transferrable NFT with future perks like fee rebates, boosted vault yield, or access to experimental features

Getting Involved

GitHub – Once public, fork the repo, open issues, or ship a PR (bug‑bashers and typo hunters welcome).

Telegram – Pop into our chat for real‑time banter and a TBD weekly call.

Twitter / X – Follow @vMARKET___ for vault stats, test‑net quests, and the occasional meme drop.

Volunteer Squad (Help Wanted!) – We’re actively scouting marketers, designers, community mods, developers, and all‑round cheerleaders.

First wave of volunteers will be first in line for paid roles (and rev‑share) once the protocol flips profitable.

Show up with code, creativity, or just good vibes—there’s a spot for you in the Vesta fam.

Team

Lead: Cobi // @cobi_bean (VestaDAO / Fraxion Labs) ~25 hrs/wk dedicated during HyperHack.

32 Likes

Thanks for sharing this-vMARKET looks like a thoughtfully designed protocol that addresses real bottlenecks in prediction markets. The unified vault and binary market structure are especially clever for simplifying UX and liquidity.

Question: How does Vic, your embedded AI agent, plan to evolve from its current rule-based engine to more autonomous, agentic behavior? Will users eventually be able to delegate market-making or even trading strategies to it directly?

8 Likes

Hello @cobibean , how are you?

  1. Can users exit YES/NO positions before the event settles? If so, how is pricing handled near expiry when volatility spikes?
  2. How will Vic evolve from read-only to agentic? Can users eventually delegate market creation or vault rebalancing to Vic with custom strategies?
6 Likes

This sounds interesting Cobi, really like the focus on solving low participation with a unified liquidity vault and AI-enhanced UX. Thrilled to see how this vMARKET evolves!

6 Likes

Sounds interesting at first reading.

i will read again to grab full understanding on how it will work

3 Likes

Looking forward to when everything becomes one and solidify. Big ups Cobi

3 Likes

Good luck Brother :heart_hands:t2:

2 Likes